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机构:英国央行料紧随美联储的脚步放缓降息,但未来可能会降得更多
市场普遍预计,英国央行本周将维持利率不变,与美联储周三的行动保持一致。不过今年晚些时候,它仍有可能比美联储更大幅度地降息。与美联储一样,英国央行预计未来几个月通胀将继续放缓,但它希望确保通胀回落已步入正轨,并避免过快降低借贷成本。但英国经济一直比美国弱得多。继第三季度持平后,英国经济第四季度仅增长 0.1%,勉强避免了衰退。虽然对俄乌冲突以及特朗普关税对全球经济增长的影响的担忧影响着英国,但英国经济也有自己的问题。总理斯塔默领导的政府一直在努力恢复消费者和企业对前景的信心。就英国央行而言,它表示正在采取 “渐进和谨慎的方法” 来降低利率,然而,随着经济停滞,利率的走势是明确的。以 George Buckley 为首的野村证券经济学家表示:“我们预计央行将在 3 月份维持利率不变,5 月份再次降息”,然后在 “从这里到 2026 年 2 月(含 2026 年 2 月)的每一次会议上降息,终端利率为 3.5%。”



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机构:英国央行料紧随美联储的脚步放缓降息,但未来可能会降得更多
市场普遍预计,英国央行本周将维持利率不变,与美联储周三的行动保持一致。不过今年晚些时候,它仍有可能比美联储更大幅度地降息。与美联储一样,英国央行预计未来几个月通胀将继续放缓,但它希望确保通胀回落已步入正轨,并避免过快降低借贷成本。但英国经济一直比美国弱得多。继第三季度持平后,英国经济第四季度仅增长 0.1%,勉强避免了衰退。虽然对俄乌冲突以及特朗普关税对全球经济增长的影响的担忧影响着英国,但英国经济也有自己的问题。总理斯塔默领导的政府一直在努力恢复消费者和企业对前景的信心。就英国央行而言,它表示正在采取 “渐进和谨慎的方法” 来降低利率,然而,随着经济停滞,利率的走势是明确的。以 George Buckley 为首的野村证券经济学家表示:“我们预计央行将在 3 月份维持利率不变,5 月份再次降息”,然后在 “从这里到 2026 年 2 月(含 2026 年 2 月)的每一次会议上降息,终端利率为 3.5%。”

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Telegram hopes to raise $1bn with a convertible bond private placement

The super secure UAE-based Telegram messenger service, developed by Russian-born software icon Pavel Durov, is looking to raise $1bn through a bond placement to a limited number of investors from Russia, Europe, Asia and the Middle East, the Kommersant daily reported citing unnamed sources on February 18, 2021.The issue reportedly comprises exchange bonds that could be converted into equity in the messaging service that is currently 100% owned by Durov and his brother Nikolai.Kommersant reports that the price of the conversion would be at a 10% discount to a potential IPO should it happen within five years.The minimum bond placement is said to be set at $50mn, but could be lowered to $10mn. Five-year bonds could carry an annual coupon of 7-8%.

Why Telegram?

Telegram has no known backdoors and, even though it is come in for criticism for using proprietary encryption methods instead of open-source ones, those have yet to be compromised. While no messaging app can guarantee a 100% impermeable defense against determined attackers, Telegram is vulnerabilities are few and either theoretical or based on spoof files fooling users into actively enabling an attack.

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