Part A, Availability:
如果城市防洪做的很好，那么人们会倾向于洪水根本不会发生，到了偶然发生特大洪水时，人们就会发现他们因为自信而没买保险。
记忆从来不是统计历史概率的好办法，更别想着去预测未来了。
BY 理性之道、Less Wrong，群星和别的什么
At a time when the Indian stock market is peaking and has rallied immensely compared to global markets, there are companies that have not performed in the last 10 years. These are definitely a minor portion of the market considering there are hundreds of stocks that have turned multibagger since 2020. What went wrong with these stocks? Reasons vary from corporate governance, sectoral weakness, company specific and so on. But the more important question is, are these stocks worth buying?
Telegram is riding high, adding tens of million of users this year. Now the bill is coming due.Telegram is one of the few significant social-media challengers to Facebook Inc., FB -1.90% on a trajectory toward one billion users active each month by the end of 2022, up from roughly 550 million today.
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