Part A, 成为负担的细节（Burdensome Details）
未来学家？实际上，句子每加上一个 "and"，它的概率就要重新计算。
然而，越“逼真”的句子越使人确信
“人类文明将在百年内毁灭”
“人类文明将在百年内毁灭，地球生物圈将重新洗牌”
多出来的细节使得句子的发生概率下降（但人们常常不这么想），这就是合取谬误（Conjunction fallcy）。
If you can lighten your burden you must do so.
BY 理性之道、Less Wrong，群星和别的什么
Telegram is an aspiring new messaging app that’s taking the world by storm. The app is free, fast, and claims to be one of the safest messengers around. It allows people to connect easily, without any boundaries.You can use channels on Telegram, which are similar to Facebook pages. If you’re wondering how to find channels on Telegram, you’re in the right place. Keep reading and you’ll find out how. Also, you’ll learn more about channels, creating channels yourself, and the difference between private and public Telegram channels.
The lead from Wall Street offers little clarity as the major averages opened lower on Friday and then bounced back and forth across the unchanged line, finally finishing mixed and little changed.The Dow added 33.18 points or 0.10 percent to finish at 34,798.00, while the NASDAQ eased 4.54 points or 0.03 percent to close at 15,047.70 and the S&P 500 rose 6.50 points or 0.15 percent to end at 4,455.48. For the week, the Dow rose 0.6 percent, the NASDAQ added 0.1 percent and the S&P gained 0.5 percent.The lackluster performance on Wall Street came on uncertainty about the outlook for the markets following recent volatility.
理性之道、Less Wrong，群星和别的什么 from us