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The Akaike Information Criterion (AIC), Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC), and the Deviance Information Criterion (DIC) are perhaps the most widely-used information criteria (IC) in model building and selection. A fourth, Minimum Description Length (MDL), is closely related to the BIC. In a nutshell, they provide guidance as which alternative model provides the most "bang for buck," i.e., the best fit after penalizing for model complexity. Penalizing for complexity is important since, given candidate models of similar predictive or explanatory power, the simplest model is most likely to be the best choice. In line with Occam's razor, complex models sometimes perform poorly on data not used in the model building. There are several others, including AIC3, SABIC, and CAIC, and no clear consensus among authorities as far as I am aware as to which is "best" overall. IC will not necessarily agree on which model should be chosen. Cross-validation, Predicted Residual Error Sum of Squares (PRESS) statistic, a kind of cross-validation, and Mallows’ Cp are also used instead of IC. Information criteria are covered in varying levels in detail in most statistics textbooks and are the subject of numerous academic papers. I know of no single go-to source on this topic.

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The Akaike Information Criterion (AIC), Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC), and the Deviance Information Criterion (DIC) are perhaps the most widely-used information criteria (IC) in model building and selection. A fourth, Minimum Description Length (MDL), is closely related to the BIC. In a nutshell, they provide guidance as which alternative model provides the most "bang for buck," i.e., the best fit after penalizing for model complexity. Penalizing for complexity is important since, given candidate models of similar predictive or explanatory power, the simplest model is most likely to be the best choice. In line with Occam's razor, complex models sometimes perform poorly on data not used in the model building. There are several others, including AIC3, SABIC, and CAIC, and no clear consensus among authorities as far as I am aware as to which is "best" overall. IC will not necessarily agree on which model should be chosen. Cross-validation, Predicted Residual Error Sum of Squares (PRESS) statistic, a kind of cross-validation, and Mallows’ Cp are also used instead of IC. Information criteria are covered in varying levels in detail in most statistics textbooks and are the subject of numerous academic papers. I know of no single go-to source on this topic.

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Spiking bond yields driving sharp losses in tech stocks

A spike in interest rates since the start of the year has accelerated a rotation out of high-growth technology stocks and into value stocks poised to benefit from a reopening of the economy. The Nasdaq has fallen more than 10% over the past month as the Dow has soared to record highs, with a spike in the 10-year US Treasury yield acting as the main catalyst. It recently surged to a cycle high of more than 1.60% after starting the year below 1%. But according to Jim Paulsen, the Leuthold Group's chief investment strategist, rising interest rates do not represent a long-term threat to the stock market. Paulsen expects the 10-year yield to cross 2% by the end of the year. A spike in interest rates and its impact on the stock market depends on the economic backdrop, according to Paulsen. Rising interest rates amid a strengthening economy "may prove no challenge at all for stocks," Paulsen said.

A project of our size needs at least a few hundred million dollars per year to keep going,” Mr. Durov wrote in his public channel on Telegram late last year. “While doing that, we will remain independent and stay true to our values, redefining how a tech company should operate.

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