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上海某区新型冠状病毒流行期间慢性病超额死亡情况调查_张民.pdf
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#科普辟谣 #死亡病例 #上海 #Shanghai

【上海某区新型冠状病毒流行期间慢性病超额死亡情况调查】
【目的】
了解新型冠状病毒感染(简称“新冠感染”)疫情防控“新十条”后上海某区居民的慢性病超额死亡情况。

【方法】
死亡信息来源于死亡登记报告系统,人口数据来源于上海统计年鉴。拟定 2019年12月16日—2022 年12月6日为“新十条”前、2022年12月7日—2023年2月23日为“新十条”后,使用SPSS 22.0 软件的时间序列专家建模器的方法计算预期死亡人数。

【结果】
上海某区居民新冠感染“新十条”后的超额死亡率为 172.88%(13338.61/7651.39),其中,男性为65.12%(7982.24/12257)高于女性 61.16%(5341.46/8733)。慢性病超额死亡率从高到低依次是肿瘤368.62%(338.91/1227)、糖尿病274.01%(448.37/122)、高血压241.40%(465.95/170.05)、肺部感染222.92%(1 780.12/532)、脑卒中212.81%(962.32/431.68)和冠心病27.62%(965.37/454)。

【结论】
新型冠状病毒感染“新十条”后超额死亡率较高,肿瘤和糖尿病导致是超额死亡的主要原因。

全文:👉上海预防医学 @ 知网



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#科普辟谣 #死亡病例 #上海 #Shanghai

【上海某区新型冠状病毒流行期间慢性病超额死亡情况调查】
【目的】
了解新型冠状病毒感染(简称“新冠感染”)疫情防控“新十条”后上海某区居民的慢性病超额死亡情况。

【方法】
死亡信息来源于死亡登记报告系统,人口数据来源于上海统计年鉴。拟定 2019年12月16日—2022 年12月6日为“新十条”前、2022年12月7日—2023年2月23日为“新十条”后,使用SPSS 22.0 软件的时间序列专家建模器的方法计算预期死亡人数。

【结果】
上海某区居民新冠感染“新十条”后的超额死亡率为 172.88%(13338.61/7651.39),其中,男性为65.12%(7982.24/12257)高于女性 61.16%(5341.46/8733)。慢性病超额死亡率从高到低依次是肿瘤368.62%(338.91/1227)、糖尿病274.01%(448.37/122)、高血压241.40%(465.95/170.05)、肺部感染222.92%(1 780.12/532)、脑卒中212.81%(962.32/431.68)和冠心病27.62%(965.37/454)。

【结论】
新型冠状病毒感染“新十条”后超额死亡率较高,肿瘤和糖尿病导致是超额死亡的主要原因。

全文:👉上海预防医学 @ 知网

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