"1 foiz devalvatsiya inflyatsiya suratini 0.4 punktga oshiradi".
Nazarimda, bu bo'g'liqlik undan ham yuqoridek.
Nega devalvatsiya bilan inflyatsiya o'rtasidagi bunday yuqori bog'liqlik mavjud?
Birinchidan, bizdagi import tovarlarning katta qismini iste'mol tovarlari tashkil etadi. Devalvatsiya narxlarning o'sishida yoki importyor sotuvchilarning foydasining kamayishida aks etishi kerak.
Nima deb o'ylaysiz bizda asosan qaysi biri sodir bo'ladi? Menimcha, ko'proq birinchisi.
Ikkinchidan, devalvatsiyaning narxlar o'sishiga ta'siri bilvosita ish haqi orqali ham sodir bo'lishi mumkin. Devalvatsiya va narx-navoning o'sishi ish haqining hozirgi holatiga bosim o'tkazmasdan qolmaydi. Natijada iqtisodiyot "vicious cycle" ga kirib qoladi. Narxlar oshishi, ish haqining ko'tarilishi va yana narxlarning oshishi.
Nima qilish kerak? Dollarga import uchun zarur bo'ladigan talabdan tashqari ehtiyojni pasaytirish zarur. Bu esa qayta-qayta aytganimizdek so'mni barqarorligini ta'minlashni taqozo etadi.
"1 foiz devalvatsiya inflyatsiya suratini 0.4 punktga oshiradi".
Nazarimda, bu bo'g'liqlik undan ham yuqoridek.
Nega devalvatsiya bilan inflyatsiya o'rtasidagi bunday yuqori bog'liqlik mavjud?
Birinchidan, bizdagi import tovarlarning katta qismini iste'mol tovarlari tashkil etadi. Devalvatsiya narxlarning o'sishida yoki importyor sotuvchilarning foydasining kamayishida aks etishi kerak.
Nima deb o'ylaysiz bizda asosan qaysi biri sodir bo'ladi? Menimcha, ko'proq birinchisi.
Ikkinchidan, devalvatsiyaning narxlar o'sishiga ta'siri bilvosita ish haqi orqali ham sodir bo'lishi mumkin. Devalvatsiya va narx-navoning o'sishi ish haqining hozirgi holatiga bosim o'tkazmasdan qolmaydi. Natijada iqtisodiyot "vicious cycle" ga kirib qoladi. Narxlar oshishi, ish haqining ko'tarilishi va yana narxlarning oshishi.
Nima qilish kerak? Dollarga import uchun zarur bo'ladigan talabdan tashqari ehtiyojni pasaytirish zarur. Bu esa qayta-qayta aytganimizdek so'mni barqarorligini ta'minlashni taqozo etadi.
BY MacroBS
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In general, many financial experts support their clients’ desire to buy cryptocurrency, but they don’t recommend it unless clients express interest. “The biggest concern for us is if someone wants to invest in crypto and the investment they choose doesn’t do well, and then all of a sudden they can’t send their kids to college,” says Ian Harvey, a certified financial planner (CFP) in New York City. “Then it wasn’t worth the risk.” The speculative nature of cryptocurrency leads some planners to recommend it for clients’ “side” investments. “Some call it a Vegas account,” says Scott Hammel, a CFP in Dallas. “Let’s keep this away from our real long-term perspective, make sure it doesn’t become too large a portion of your portfolio.” In a very real sense, Bitcoin is like a single stock, and advisors wouldn’t recommend putting a sizable part of your portfolio into any one company. At most, planners suggest putting no more than 1% to 10% into Bitcoin if you’re passionate about it. “If it was one stock, you would never allocate any significant portion of your portfolio to it,” Hammel says.
Start with a fresh view of investing strategy. The combination of risks and fads this quarter looks to be topping. That means the future is ready to move in.Likely, there will not be a wholesale shift. Company actions will aim to benefit from economic growth, inflationary pressures and a return of market-determined interest rates. In turn, all of that should drive the stock market and investment returns higher.
