"1 foiz devalvatsiya inflyatsiya suratini 0.4 punktga oshiradi".
Nazarimda, bu bo'g'liqlik undan ham yuqoridek.
Nega devalvatsiya bilan inflyatsiya o'rtasidagi bunday yuqori bog'liqlik mavjud?
Birinchidan, bizdagi import tovarlarning katta qismini iste'mol tovarlari tashkil etadi. Devalvatsiya narxlarning o'sishida yoki importyor sotuvchilarning foydasining kamayishida aks etishi kerak.
Nima deb o'ylaysiz bizda asosan qaysi biri sodir bo'ladi? Menimcha, ko'proq birinchisi.
Ikkinchidan, devalvatsiyaning narxlar o'sishiga ta'siri bilvosita ish haqi orqali ham sodir bo'lishi mumkin. Devalvatsiya va narx-navoning o'sishi ish haqining hozirgi holatiga bosim o'tkazmasdan qolmaydi. Natijada iqtisodiyot "vicious cycle" ga kirib qoladi. Narxlar oshishi, ish haqining ko'tarilishi va yana narxlarning oshishi.
Nima qilish kerak? Dollarga import uchun zarur bo'ladigan talabdan tashqari ehtiyojni pasaytirish zarur. Bu esa qayta-qayta aytganimizdek so'mni barqarorligini ta'minlashni taqozo etadi.
"1 foiz devalvatsiya inflyatsiya suratini 0.4 punktga oshiradi".
Nazarimda, bu bo'g'liqlik undan ham yuqoridek.
Nega devalvatsiya bilan inflyatsiya o'rtasidagi bunday yuqori bog'liqlik mavjud?
Birinchidan, bizdagi import tovarlarning katta qismini iste'mol tovarlari tashkil etadi. Devalvatsiya narxlarning o'sishida yoki importyor sotuvchilarning foydasining kamayishida aks etishi kerak.
Nima deb o'ylaysiz bizda asosan qaysi biri sodir bo'ladi? Menimcha, ko'proq birinchisi.
Ikkinchidan, devalvatsiyaning narxlar o'sishiga ta'siri bilvosita ish haqi orqali ham sodir bo'lishi mumkin. Devalvatsiya va narx-navoning o'sishi ish haqining hozirgi holatiga bosim o'tkazmasdan qolmaydi. Natijada iqtisodiyot "vicious cycle" ga kirib qoladi. Narxlar oshishi, ish haqining ko'tarilishi va yana narxlarning oshishi.
Nima qilish kerak? Dollarga import uchun zarur bo'ladigan talabdan tashqari ehtiyojni pasaytirish zarur. Bu esa qayta-qayta aytganimizdek so'mni barqarorligini ta'minlashni taqozo etadi.
BY MacroBS
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Among the actives, Ascendas REIT sank 0.64 percent, while CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust plummeted 1.42 percent, City Developments plunged 1.12 percent, Dairy Farm International tumbled 0.86 percent, DBS Group skidded 0.68 percent, Genting Singapore retreated 0.67 percent, Hongkong Land climbed 1.30 percent, Mapletree Commercial Trust lost 0.47 percent, Mapletree Logistics Trust tanked 0.95 percent, Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation dropped 0.61 percent, SATS rose 0.24 percent, SembCorp Industries shed 0.54 percent, Singapore Airlines surrendered 0.79 percent, Singapore Exchange slid 0.30 percent, Singapore Press Holdings declined 1.03 percent, Singapore Technologies Engineering dipped 0.26 percent, SingTel advanced 0.81 percent, United Overseas Bank fell 0.39 percent, Wilmar International eased 0.24 percent, Yangzijiang Shipbuilding jumped 1.42 percent and Keppel Corp, Thai Beverage, CapitaLand and Comfort DelGro were unchanged.
The global forecast for the Asian markets is murky following recent volatility, with crude oil prices providing support in what has been an otherwise tough month. The European markets were down and the U.S. bourses were mixed and flat and the Asian markets figure to split the difference.The TSE finished modestly lower on Friday following losses from the financial shares and property stocks.For the day, the index sank 15.09 points or 0.49 percent to finish at 3,061.35 after trading between 3,057.84 and 3,089.78. Volume was 1.39 billion shares worth 1.30 billion Singapore dollars. There were 285 decliners and 184 gainers.
