"1 foiz devalvatsiya inflyatsiya suratini 0.4 punktga oshiradi".
Nazarimda, bu bo'g'liqlik undan ham yuqoridek.
Nega devalvatsiya bilan inflyatsiya o'rtasidagi bunday yuqori bog'liqlik mavjud?
Birinchidan, bizdagi import tovarlarning katta qismini iste'mol tovarlari tashkil etadi. Devalvatsiya narxlarning o'sishida yoki importyor sotuvchilarning foydasining kamayishida aks etishi kerak.
Nima deb o'ylaysiz bizda asosan qaysi biri sodir bo'ladi? Menimcha, ko'proq birinchisi.
Ikkinchidan, devalvatsiyaning narxlar o'sishiga ta'siri bilvosita ish haqi orqali ham sodir bo'lishi mumkin. Devalvatsiya va narx-navoning o'sishi ish haqining hozirgi holatiga bosim o'tkazmasdan qolmaydi. Natijada iqtisodiyot "vicious cycle" ga kirib qoladi. Narxlar oshishi, ish haqining ko'tarilishi va yana narxlarning oshishi.
Nima qilish kerak? Dollarga import uchun zarur bo'ladigan talabdan tashqari ehtiyojni pasaytirish zarur. Bu esa qayta-qayta aytganimizdek so'mni barqarorligini ta'minlashni taqozo etadi.
"1 foiz devalvatsiya inflyatsiya suratini 0.4 punktga oshiradi".
Nazarimda, bu bo'g'liqlik undan ham yuqoridek.
Nega devalvatsiya bilan inflyatsiya o'rtasidagi bunday yuqori bog'liqlik mavjud?
Birinchidan, bizdagi import tovarlarning katta qismini iste'mol tovarlari tashkil etadi. Devalvatsiya narxlarning o'sishida yoki importyor sotuvchilarning foydasining kamayishida aks etishi kerak.
Nima deb o'ylaysiz bizda asosan qaysi biri sodir bo'ladi? Menimcha, ko'proq birinchisi.
Ikkinchidan, devalvatsiyaning narxlar o'sishiga ta'siri bilvosita ish haqi orqali ham sodir bo'lishi mumkin. Devalvatsiya va narx-navoning o'sishi ish haqining hozirgi holatiga bosim o'tkazmasdan qolmaydi. Natijada iqtisodiyot "vicious cycle" ga kirib qoladi. Narxlar oshishi, ish haqining ko'tarilishi va yana narxlarning oshishi.
Nima qilish kerak? Dollarga import uchun zarur bo'ladigan talabdan tashqari ehtiyojni pasaytirish zarur. Bu esa qayta-qayta aytganimizdek so'mni barqarorligini ta'minlashni taqozo etadi.
BY MacroBS
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Durov said on his Telegram channel today that the two and a half year blockchain and crypto project has been put to sleep. Ironically, after leaving Russia because the government wanted his encryption keys to his social media firm, Durov’s cryptocurrency idea lost steam because of a U.S. court. “The technology we created allowed for an open, free, decentralized exchange of value and ideas. TON had the potential to revolutionize how people store and transfer funds and information,” he wrote on his channel. “Unfortunately, a U.S. court stopped TON from happening.”
That growth environment will include rising inflation and interest rates. Those upward shifts naturally accompany healthy growth periods as the demand for resources, products and services rise. Importantly, the Federal Reserve has laid out the rationale for not interfering with that natural growth transition.It's not exactly a fad, but there is a widespread willingness to pay up for a growth story. Classic fundamental analysis takes a back seat. Even negative earnings are ignored. In fact, positive earnings seem to be a limiting measure, producing the question, "Is that all you've got?" The preference is a vision of untold riches when the exciting story plays out as expected.
